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WNBA Β· May 03, 2026 Β· Mohegan Sun ArenaConnecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W live stream, prediction, odds & h2h

Home Β· Open at the rim
VS Β· Sun May 03 Β· 21:00 UTC
β€”
Away Β· Elite offence, leaky defence
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Stream Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W live

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About this matchup

Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W projects as one of the closer reads on the WNBA card β€” the model has it inside a 3.7-point spread. That puts the value either on the underdog moneyline or on a totals lean, depending on tempo. Full numbers below.

This shapes up as a high-pace, high-total matchup. The model projects a combined 164.7 points, which is well above the WNBA baseline.

Tip-off is at Mohegan Sun Arena, and Connecticut Sun W's home record reads as soft at home. New York Liberty W's road profile grades out as steady on the road.

There's no prior head-to-head on file in the seasons we cover for Connecticut Sun W and New York Liberty W β€” a clean-slate matchup where current form and rest take on extra weight.

On the standings, New York Liberty W sit 2nd in the WNBA while Connecticut Sun W are 5th β€” a meaningful gap that backs the model's lean.

How to watch: the Watch live button at the top of the page routes to Bet365 if you're in a regulated EU/UK/AU/CA/NZ market and to Stake everywhere else. Both partners stream live in-play with a funded account. 18+, T&Cs apply.

Smart angle Β· prediction & projected score

Model projection Β· not financial advice.

Model pick
New York Liberty W -3.7
Coin-flip Β· 59% win probability
Projected score
80.5 – 84.2
Connecticut Sun W Β· New York Liberty W
Projected total
164.7
Combined points
Win probability
41%
59%
Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Connecticut Sun W

Open at the rim
Last meetingsno recent
Record11–33 (5 in group)
PPG for / against75.9 / 85.8
Win % overall26%
Home win %32%
Away win %21%
OFF: Strong DEF: Weak Soft at home Up-tempo

New York Liberty W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsno recent
Record27–17 (2 in group)
PPG for / against83.5 / 80.1
Win % overall59%
Home win %72%
Away win %46%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

This profiles as a coin-flip on paper β€” the model splits it within 3.7 points and the projected total of 164.7 is the tell.

Connecticut Sun W grade out soft at home at home; New York Liberty W read steady on the road on the road.

Head-to-head β€” last meetings

No prior meetings on record from the past seasons covered.

League standings snapshot Β· WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
5
Connecticut Sun W
11 33 3337 3782 LLWLL
2
New York Liberty W
27 17 3713 3534 WWWLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W tip-off?
Tip-off is Sun May 03 Β· 21:00 UTC at Mohegan Sun Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Connecticut Sun W are profiled as open at the rim (26% win rate) and New York Liberty W as elite offence, leaky defence (59%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in β€” see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
We don't have prior meetings on file in the seasons we cover.