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Connecticut Sun W vs New York Liberty W projects as one of the closer reads on the WNBA card β the model has it inside a 3.7-point spread. That puts the value either on the underdog moneyline or on a totals lean, depending on tempo. Full numbers below.
This shapes up as a high-pace, high-total matchup. The model projects a combined 164.7 points, which is well above the WNBA baseline.
Tip-off is at Mohegan Sun Arena, and Connecticut Sun W's home record reads as soft at home. New York Liberty W's road profile grades out as steady on the road.
There's no prior head-to-head on file in the seasons we cover for Connecticut Sun W and New York Liberty W β a clean-slate matchup where current form and rest take on extra weight.
On the standings, New York Liberty W sit 2nd in the WNBA while Connecticut Sun W are 5th β a meaningful gap that backs the model's lean.
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Model projection Β· not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Connecticut Sun W
New York Liberty WThis profiles as a coin-flip on paper β the model splits it within 3.7 points and the projected total of 164.7 is the tell.
Connecticut Sun W grade out soft at home at home; New York Liberty W read steady on the road on the road.
No prior meetings on record from the past seasons covered.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Connecticut Sun W |
11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | LLWLL |
| 2 | New York Liberty W |
27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | WWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.